Australia vs England, 2nd Semi-Final Match Prediction2019-07-12
Man of the Match: CR Woakes
?Since the year 2000, Australia has recorded a 63% winning ratio against the hosts, winning 48 of 76 matches.
?The figures of recent matches are heavily inclined towards England (12 out of 15 wins). England outclassed Australia in their previous two bilateral ODI series. While in Australia, England won the ODI series 4-1, at home, they swept the series 5-0.
?Of the last four encounters in the World Cups, Australia defeated England in all the games.
Australia will win this contest based on recent form, their mental strength and ability to demolish the opponent in a knock-out match.
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Australia missed the top berth of the points table by 10 runs as they lost to South Africa in the last match of the group stage. It meant, they would be facing the tournament favorites England who just bounced back after a couple of bad games in the group round. Before the start of the World Cup, the hosts have won 8 of their previous 10 bilateral ODI series, played in the last two years and topped the ICC ODI team rankings. While Australia was at the 5th place before the start of the tournament, their brilliant performance in the tournament enabled them to climb one position up. They have lost just 2 games so far, against India and South Africa, while England recuperated their rhythm at the right team by winning two consecutive games towards the end, against India and New Zealand. It would be interesting to see how the England openers will play Mitchell Starc’s spell.
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Australia has won the World Cup five times (1987, 1999, 2003, 2007 and 2015) and overall this is going to be their 8th semi-final. In the group-stage, Aussies won 7 of their 9 games and remained at second place in the points table, just one point less than the top-ranked team India. Australia won their first two games against Afghanistan and West Indies and then India defeated them by 36 runs after asking an exorbitant target of 352.
They won their next five matches consecutively, which includes the match against England in which Behrendorff (5 wickets) and Starc (4 wickets) scythed through the opponent’s much-talked-about batting line-up. Five-for haul from the highest wicket-taker of the tournament, Starc (26 wickets in 9 matches), helped Aussies thrash New Zealand by 86 runs after making 243. They came within 10 runs of winning their last group match against South Africa who posted a target of 325. David Warner’s 122 off 117 and Carey’s 85 off 69 just fell short and this loss cost them the top position, only to play against England in the semi-final. Also, their number-3 batsman Usman Khawaja (1085 ODI runs in last 12 months) picked up a hamstring injury during this match and ruled out of the World Cup.
In last 12 months, Aaron Finch (1198 runs in 25 innings) scored the most for Australia. David Warner in 9 World Cup matches scored 638 runs which include 3 Centuries, and 3 Half-centuries. He also scored the highest runs in a match in this World Cup (166 vs Bangladesh). Among the bowlers, Pat Cummins (31 wickets in last 18 innings) and Starc (30 wickets in last 12 matches) are the top performers.
Aaron Finch, Nathan Lyon, Pat Cummins, Alex Carey, Peter Handscomb, Mitchell Starc, Steven Smith, Glenn Maxwell, Jason Behrendorff, Marcus Stoinis, David Warner
Aaron Finch(c), David Warner, Steven Smith, Peter Handscomb, Glenn Maxwell, Alex Carey(w), Mitchell Marsh, Mitchell Starc, Pat Cummins, JP Behrendorff, NM Lyon
It is England’s sixth semi-final appearance, and first after 1992 edition in which they reached the final, but eventually lost to Pakistan. In their quest of the first ever World Cup trophy, England played in dominating fashion in the first five matches, losing only one game, to Pakistan. Though, they had come close to 14 runs while chasing Pakistan’s 348 runs. The situation became a bit scary for them after they lost a low scoring match against Sri Lanka and then succumbed to Australia in the next match. Their last two games were against India and New Zealand, and fortunately for their cricket fans, they won both, to get the third place in the points table.
All their batsmen have been in tremendous forms as they crossed 300 runs 6 times in 9 games. They thrashed Bangladesh by scoring 386 and against Afghanistan, they fell 3 short of 400. Their bowlers have restricted the opponents under 250 6 times, and only two teams - India and Pakistan - could score more than 300 against English bowlers.
Joe Root (1216 in last 26 innings), Eoin Morgan (1092 in last 23 matches) and Jason Roy (935 in last 17 innings) are the top scorers for England in past 12 months. In this World Cup, Joe Root (500 runs with 2 tons and 3 Half-centuries in 9 innings) and Jonny Bairstow (462 runs with 2 tons and two 50+ scores) have been outstanding. From the blowing department, Jofra Archer (9 matches, 17 wickets) and Mark Wood (8 innings 16 wickets) are shining bright. All eyes are on the hosts and how would they play against the defending champions.
Jonny Bairstow, Joe Root, Liam Plunkett, Jos Buttler, Jason Roy, Mark Wood, AU Rashid, Eoin Morgan, Jofra Chioke Archer, Ben Stokes, CR Woakes
|J Chioke Archer||7.0||1||17||1||2.43|
|J Chioke Archer||7.0||1||17||1||2.43|
Eoin Morgan (c), Adil Rashid, Jofra Archer, Jonny Bairstow, Jos Buttler (wk), Liam Plunkett, Joe Root, Jason Roy, Ben Stokes, Chris Woakes, Mark Wood
The venue of the match in Edgbaston, Birmingham. The highest total ever recorded on this ground is 408/9, by England against New Zealand. The average score batting first and second here, are 231 and 185 respectively. Highest total chased on this ground is 280/4, by Australia against England, while the lowest total defended is 129/7 by India versus England. Out of 56 matches in which we got the results, the teams batting first have won 28 times and the teams batting second have won 27 times while one match was tied.
In the World Cup, four matches have been played at this venue, 2 are won by the teams batting first and 2 by the teams batting second. The toss did not play a significant role here but in a pressure situation as this, any team would want to bat first after winning the toss.
Australia defeated England in the group-round, also they overwhelmed the hosts in the warm-up games. The clash between the arch-rivals is no less than a final, for more than one reason. At one hand we have the hosts - England – who are the tournament-favorite and hold ICC rank one while on the other hand, we have the most successful team in the history of cricket, who held the World Cup trophies more than any other teams on this planet. Both the teams have some of the finest batsmen and bowlers. It is not going to be an easy contest for either team.
However, based on the experience and ability to hold the nerves in a knock-out game, we predict Australia will come out victorious to reach yet another final.
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