England vs Australia, Match 32 Prediction2019-06-26
Man of the Match: Aaron Finch
?Australia has an upper hand when overall head-to-head records are considered with 81 wins in 147 games. Also, in the last four World Cups, Australia has defeated England in all 3 encounters.
?ICC number one ranked team England have been victors in 12 out of last 15 encounters. England were the winners in all of the last five matches against Australia.
?With five wins and just one loss, Australia is at number two position in the points table. With four wins and two losses, England is at number four, one position below India.
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The hosts have faced humiliation at the hands of the subcontinent teams twice. Against Pakistan, they failed to chase a mammoth total of 348 while against Sri Lanka they couldn’t chase even 232 runs. Graeme Swann in his criticism stated that England has forgotten how to chase a low total. They lost 4 crucial points against the teams they should have won, as going ahead their opponents are anything but weak.
The only defeat Australia faced was against mighty India who is yet to lose a match in the World Cup. Aussies have placed themselves in a comfortable position with 10 points and their 3 matches are left. In 6 games, they went past 300 four times and crossed 350 two times. It shows how good their batting line up is. They have a quality bowling unit led by Mitchell Starc and Pat Cummins.
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England has won 4 of their 6 games in this World Cup. While they played dominant roles in their winning matches, they failed to chase on two occasions narrowly. Against Pakistan in the second match, they came within 14 runs of winning the game, while against Sri Lanka, the team succumbed against the legend bowler Lasith Malinga, to face the defeat by 20 runs.
In the first match of the World Cup, Jofra Archer (3 for 27) led the bowling unit to crush South Africa by 104 runs, after their batsmen posted the total of 311 due to Ben Stokes' 89 runs. Against Bangladesh, the hosts scored gigantic 386 runs thanks to Jaso Roy’s 153. Ben Stokes (3 for 23) and Jofra Archer (3 for 29) helped England to claim the match by 106 runs. Against West Indies, Mark Wood (3 for 18) and Jofra Archer (3 for 30) rocked the show and restricted them at 212. The target was eventually chased down in just 33.1 overs. England came heavily against Afghanistan and scored 397 runs batting first. Eoin Morgan's brutal innings of 148 in this match included record-breaking 17 sixes.
Injury of Jason Roy at such a juncture of the World Cup is a huge blow for the team England in their course to lift the World Cup for the first time. Though they have dependable and match winner batsmen like Joe Root (1141 runs in his last 24 innings), Eoin Morgan (1045 in his last 21 innings) and JC Buttler (514 in last 10 innings). Mark Wood (21 wickets in last 10 matches), Jofra Archer (17 wickets in 8 matches) and Chris Woakes (16 wickets in 10 games) are the top bowlers for England in the recent matches.
Jonny Bairstow, Joe Root, Jos Buttler, Mark Wood, AU Rashid, Moeen Ali, Eoin Morgan, James Vince, Jofra Chioke Archer, Ben Stokes, CR Woakes
|J Chioke Archer||10.0||2||52||3||5.2|
|J Chioke Archer||10.0||2||52||3||5.2|
Eoin Morgan (c), Adil Rashid, Jofra Archer, Jonny Bairstow, Jos Buttler (wk), Liam Plunkett, Joe Root, Jason Roy, Ben Stokes, Chris Woakes, Mark Wood
Australia has played 84 matches in the World Cup history, the most by any team, and have been victors in 62 matches. They have the highest winning ratio of 75.30% at the World Cups.
In their first match, they restricted Afghanistan to 207 as Adam Zampa and Pat Cummins bagged 3 wickets each, and David Warner smashed 89 runs in his ODI reappearance match. The second match against West Indies was quite a dramatic and thrilling one. Coulter-Nile (92 off 60) helped Aussies to reach 288 after initial debacle, and the West Indies came within 15 runs, but eventually, the result went in Australia's favour.
Australia faced their first defeat of the World Cup 2019 against India. While chasing a big total of 352, they needed a couple of big innings from their batsmen instead of a few half-centuries. Eventually, they lost the match by 36 runs. Aussies won their next three matches, beating Pakistan by 41 runs, Sri Lanka by 87 runs and Bangladesh by 48 runs. The outstanding batting display from David Warner made him the Player of the Match on 3 occasions in their 6 World Cup games. He has scored 447 runs at an average of 74 in these six games. Aaron Finch (731 in previous 10 innings) and Usman Khawaja (956 runs in last 19 innings) are the other key batsmen for Australia. Pat Cummins is the leading wicket-taker for Aussies in past 12 months with 29 wickets in 15 games. Mitchell Starc (19 wickets in 9 matches) and the leg-breaker Adam Zampa (15 wickets in last 10 innings) are among the top bowlers for Australia.
Aaron Finch, Nathan Lyon, Pat Cummins, Alex Carey, Steven Smith, Mitchell Starc, Glenn Maxwell, Usman Khawaja, Jason Behrendorff, Marcus Stoinis, David Warner
Aaron Finch(c), David Warner, Steven Smith, Usman Khawaja, Glenn Maxwell, Alex Carey(w), Shaun Marsh, Mitchell Starc, Pat Cummins, Kane Richardson, Nathan Coulter-Nile
The match is to be played at Lord’s, London. The highest total recorded on this ground is 334/4 by England vs India while the lowest total here is 107 by when England bowled out South Africa in just 32.1 overs. The average score batting first and second here is 237 and 217. In the last 10 games, average score batting first is 263. After the year 2000, out of 32 matches, 15 times the teams batting first have won while 17 times the teams batting second crossed the finishing line.
Bowling first looks slightly a better option here. The team winning the toss should bowl first and look for chasing down a known target at the desired pace.
The tournament favorite England is staring at an unpleasant situation, losing two matches and four vital points against meek opponents. Their next matches are against quality teams like Australia, India and New Zealand. They cannot take any match lightly now, and the pressure is naturally more on the hosts. Australia, on the other hand, looks formidable and comfortable, with just 1 loss in 6 games. It would be a good clash between quality bowlers and batsmen from both sides. Though recent ODI statistics are in favour of the hosts, the five-time World Cup winners Australia has never lost to England in last four World Cups. They also defeated England in the warm-up match by 12 runs after posting 297 runs, thanks to Smith’s century. Thus, we predict Australia to win this match.
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