India vs New Zealand, 1st Semi-Final Match Prediction2019-07-11
Old Trafford, Manchester
Man of the Match: Matt Henry
?Head to head, in last five encounters, India have defeated New Zealand three times, lost one while one game was abandoned. India won the five-match series 4-1 when they visited New Zealand in 2018/19.
?Last time when the two teams met in a World Cup, it was in 2003 and India had defeated New Zealand by 7 wickets. This season, their scheduled group-round match was aborted due to rain.
?In the warm-up match played between these two teams, New Zealand thrashed India by 6 wickets while chasing a humble target of 180. Trent Boult’s 4 for 33 and James Neesham’s 3 for 26 jolted mighty beating line up of India.
CRICBETTINGBUZZ PREDICTION: India will be the first to reach the final of World Cup 2019 beating New Zealand at Manchester.
T&Cs apply, 18+
As India defeated Sri Lanka, and Australia were outplayed by South Africa on the last day of the group-stage matches, India remained at the top of the points table with 15 points (7 wins, 1 Loss, 1 Abandoned match). This is going to be India’s 7th World Cup Semi-Final while New Zealand will appear for their 8th. Coincidentally, Virat Kohli and Kane Williamson were the skippers in U19 World Cup 2008, in which India defeated New Zealand in the semi-final. The guidance of the brilliant Dhoni will help the team to hold nerves in crunch moments. While Kohli has got tremendous support from his fellow batsman Rohit Sharma, New Zealand's batting relies heavily on Kane Williamson and Ross Taylor. The Yorker-specialist Jasprit Bumrah leads India’s bowling unit while Lockie Ferguson and Trent Boult are the pillars of New Zeland’s bowling house.
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Two-time world-champions team India (1983 and 2011) will play for the first time against New Zealand in this tournament as their previous game was abandoned without a single ball bowled. India has been on a magical spree as they won 15 of their 21 matches in 2019. In this World Cup, they topped the group-stage by winning 7 out of their 9 matches, losing the only game to the hosts England.
India’s batting revolves around Rohit Sharma who has smashed a record five centuries so far and the best in business -Virat Kohli - who scored five consecutive fifties in this World Cup. KL Rahul’s century came at the right time, and it must have boosted his confidence and strengthened the team management’s trust in him as an opener. The victory against Sri Lanka also meant the team India will enter the semi-final with a bundle of confidence as it was only the second time a team chased 250 plus target successfully in this World Cup.
For India, the boiling issue is the middle-order as Dhawan’s exit forced KL Rahul to open the innings only to leave a void in the middle order. Also, difficulties in scoring at a higher or a required strike rate haunt MS Dhoni and for the team India to win the big matches, he needs to fire as per his reputation. With a few left-hand batsmen in New Zealand, the team management is likely to retain the chinaman, Kuldeep Yadav.
For India, considering last 12 months, Rohit Sharma has been the top scorer with 2063 runs in 34 innings with an average of 73.67, followed by Virat Kohli who made 1697 in 27 Innings. Kuldeep Yadav has taken 54 wickets in last 31 matches while the star bowler Jasprit Bumrah has grabbed 38 wickets in 20 Innings at an average of 20.39. Mohammad Shami has been exceptional in this tournament so far, with 16 wickets in just 5 wickets, which also includes many match-winning spells and a hat-trick against Afghanistan.
YS Chahal, Lokesh Rahul, Dinesh Karthik, Rohit Sharma, Bhuvneshwar Kumar, Ravindra Jadeja, JJ Bumrah, Rishabh Pant, MS Dhoni, Virat Kohli, Hardik Pandya
Virat Kohli (C), Rohit Sharma, KL Rahul, Rishabh Pant, MS Dhoni (wk), Dinesh Karthik, Bhuvenshwar Kumar, Jasprit Bumrah, Hardik Pandya, Kuldeep Yadav, Mohammed Shami
Kane Williamson’s men make up a very good and competitive side, however, they must be feeling very lucky to get to the semi-final despite losing their last three games. Their washed-out match against India, and later England beating India affected Pakistan adversely and New Zealand positively. Despite having the same points as Pakistan (11 points), the Kiwis just managed to stay at fourth place thanks to a much better net run rate (0.175 against Pakistan’s -0.43).
New Zealand started the tournament well by beating Sri Lanka, Bangladesh, Afghanistan and got 1 point against India thanks to the rain, to take their tally to 7 points in first four games. However, in their last five games, they could grab just 4 more points by beating South Africa and West Indies. In their last three matches which they lost, their batting department failed miserably as they were bowled out under 200 twice and once under 250. To beat India, they need collective contributions from their batsmen, but at the moment it seems they are too much dependent on Kane Williamson who smashed two centuries (106* against South Africa and 148 against West Indies), one half-century (79 not out against Afghanistan) and scored thrice in the 40s.
Looking at the past 12 months, Ross Taylor is the top scorer for New Zealand with 1020 runs in 20 innings at an average of 63.75, followed by Kane Williamson who has amassed 879 runs in previous 19 innings. Lockie Ferguson (42 wickets in last 18 innings) and Trent Boult (40 wickets in 21 matches) are the bowlers to watch for. James Neesham has been performing well as an all-rounder, with 201 runs and 11 wickets in past 8 games. The team is not looking in a good shape, especially their batting lacks the solidity if Kane is not around. They need to pull up the socks and really work hard and act collectively to compete against phenomenal India.
Trent Boult, Tom Latham, Lockie Ferguson, Matt Henry, Henry Nicholls, Colin de Grandhomme, KS Williamson, Martin Guptill, Ross Taylor, Mitchell Santner, James Neesham
MJ Guptill, C Munro, KS Williamson (c), LRPL Taylor, TWM Latham (wk), JDS Neesham, C de Grandhomme, MJ Santner, LH Ferguson, MJ Henry, TA Boult
The venue of the match is Old Trafford, Manchester. The highest total ever recorded on this ground is 397/6, by England against Afghanistan right in this World Cup. The average score batting first and second here, is 225 and 197 respectively. Highest Chased on this ground is 286/4 by England against New Zealand while Lowest total defended is 221/8 by England versus New Zealand. Out of 50 matches in which we got the results, the teams batting first have won 23 times and the teams batting second have won 27 times.
However, all five games played here in this World Cup were won by the teams batting first. The toss played a crucial role here especially in this World Cup, so it will be a good toss to win and bat first
It’s the first time India and New Zealand will play in a World Cup match after 2003. Also, it is the first time the two sides are meeting in a World-Cup’s semi-final match. Both the teams performed well to reach the top-four, but India had a remarkable journey so far with just one loss, against the hosts - England. New Zealand has been lucky to get one point against India in the group stage as the match was washed-out and it helped them to enter the semi-final. They received defeats against two other semi-finalists, England and Australia. It will be difficult for New Zealand batsmen to forget past batting debacles and overcome the Indian bowling unit led by Bumrah. Overall, India looks far superior and formidable based on both the teams’ recent performances. Thus, our prediction is that India will defeat New Zealand to secure their seat for the grand finale.
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