New Zealand vs West Indies, 1st TEST DAY Match Prediction2020-12-04
Seddon Park, Hamilton, New Zealand
Can New Zealand continue their winning momentum in the first test of the series?
We predict New Zealand will win this match.
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It’s time for some red-ball action when New Zealand take on West Indies in the two-match series starting December 3rd at Seddon Park, Hamilton. Earlier, New Zealand comprehensively defeated Windies 2-0 in the three matches T20I series so the momentum is with the home side and besides they will be more comfortable while playing in their home conditions. New Zealand is a very good test side as they got very quality batsman and swing pace bowlers in their rank. Kiwis skipper Ken Williamson who was rested in T20 series will take in charge in the red-ball cricket and he will be ready to lead the team from the front. In their last series, Kiwis had defeated formidable team like India by 2-0 and they will be looking to carry on the momentum and start the series on winning note.
On the contrary, lately West Indies records in red balls cricket are not promising and hence they ranked 8th in the test ranking. Windies side led by ICC number one all-rounder Jason Holder has shown great courage in defeating England in the first game of the last test series playing in away conditions however they lost the momentum in next two games. Compared with the home side, West Indies squad will be very less experienced but they have the skillset to defeat any team. Windies dominance in this game will highly depend on the performance from their key players like Holder, Bravo and Brathwaite. They will be hoping to play good all-round cricket and get early leas in the series.
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The Blackcaps would be riding high on confidence following the success in T20 series and they would be aiming to clean-sweep against Windies in test series as well. Kiwis batting line-up is pretty stable and strong. At the top, Tom Latham is likely to open the inning with Tom Blundell. Tom Blundell has got great success in the Test series against Aussies; he scored 289 from last 8 innings at an average of 41.28. At three, skipper Ken Williamson; ICC fourth-ranked test batsman. He possesses great techniques and temperament considered necessary to get success in the longer format of the game. He is the player to watch out for in any contest. Veteran Ross Taylor will bat at no.4, he is in great form lately scored 651 runs from last 14 innings. A lot would depend on the batting duo to score most of the runs against quality Indian attack.
Henry Nicholls and all-rounder M Santner are likely to form the middle-order. In the bowling department, the return of Trent Boult makes the Kiwis attack dreadful. He can trouble the top-order Windies batsmen with his ball swinging skills both sides. Kiwis prime bowler in recent times, Neil Wagner has shown, he can take wickets both with new and old balls. Tim Southee another quality pacer in the pace attack is Kiwis leading wicket-taker; he picked 26 wickets from last 8 innings at an average of 19.96
Key Players - Kane Williamson, Tom Latham, Trent Boult
Trent Boult, Tom Latham, Daryl Mitchell, Neil Wagner, Henry Nicholls, KS Williamson, Tom Blundell, Ross Taylor, TG Southee, Will Young, Kyle Jamieson
West Indies will look start fresh in the test series and play some clinical member. Most of their member in the test squad was not the part of T20 series however they got enough time to acclimatize to the Kiwis playing conditions. In the red-ball cricket, batting is the biggest concern for the Windies as none of Windies batsmen is in ICC top 30 batsmen list and that clearly justifies their current rank (8th) on the ICC test ranking. Hence, in batting, a lot would depend on the Windies experienced batsmen K Brathwaite, Shai Hope and J Holder. K Brathwaite is a leading run-scorer in current Windies squad with 3672 runs from 118 innings at an average of 33.08. D Bravo is another experienced player in the visitor’s rank; he scored 3506 from 98 innings at an average of 37.3. Another batsman, Jermaine Blackwood was outstanding in the England tour, he scored 211 runs from last 6 innings at an average of 35.16. In the middle-order, Jason Holder, Shane Dowrich, R Cornwall will need to take more responsibility and make sure Windies get to a good total.
In the bowling, pace attack comprising of K Roach, S Gabriel and S Holder were outstanding in the last tour. They bowled with great intent and troubled the batsmen time after time. They will be eying for a similar performance against Kiwis. K Roach and S Gabriel opening spell will be very crucial for Windies and can become a winning factor for Windies. Gabriel picked 10 wickets from last 3 test games.
Key Players - J Holder, K Brathwaite, K Roach
Kemar Roach, Darren Bravo, Jermaine Blackwood, Shane Dowrich, Jason Holder, John Campbell, Shannon Gabriel, Roston Chase, Shamarh Brooks, Kraigg Brathwaite, Alzarri Joseph
|Hr||Temp||Rain||W. speed||W. direction||Clouds|
|00h||0||0 mm.||1.72 k/h||From: SW||11%|
|03h||-1||0 mm.||1.89 k/h||From: SW||47%|
|06h||-1||0 mm.||1.49 k/h||From: SW||40%|
|09h||-2||0 mm.||2.38 k/h||From: SSW||59%|
|12h||-2||0 mm.||1.35 k/h||From: SW||54%|
|15h||1||0 mm.||1.92 k/h||From: SW||100%|
|18h||4||0 mm.||2.68 k/h||From: SSW||96%|
|21h||5||0 mm.||2.33 k/h||From: SW||91%|
Weather in Hamilton ahead of the first test looks gloomy. Rain is forecasted during the first and fifth day of the first match. The temperature will stay around 22 degrees Celsius throughout the Test. The fast bowlers are likely to get more assistance on this track.
The first test of the two-match series will be played at Seddon Park, Hamilton.
Out of 26 test matches played at this venue, 10 times team bowling first won the game whereas 8 times batting the first team won the game. Besides, In New Zealand, compared to other countries, the first inning score is usually less and witnessed a higher scorer in the third and fourth inning. The batting becomes easier as the match goes one.
Hence, after winning the toss, the team is likely to bowl first
Kiwis are intimidating at home following the win in eight out of their last nine test series under Ken Williamson captaincy, besides they won all the earlier three test matches played against Windies at this venue. Also, Kiwis got plenty of great batsmen and quality bowlers in their rank. On the other hand, Windies batting line-up looks very feeble and they are relying heavily on a few individuals.
We predict New Zealand will win this match.
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